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B1G+A Payroll Report

Does Payroll Buy Wins? B1G+A Payroll Report

REPORTED 2026 ROSTER BUDGETS VS. RESULTS · RECORDS & AP RANK FROM ESPN AS OF MON OCT 12, 2026

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Every dollar figure on this page is a reported estimate, not an official or audited payroll. Budget ranges are The Athletic's reported estimates (The Athletic, Sept 16, 2026: "Does your college football roster cost $8M or $50M? Here's our report on 68 teams"), built from 70+ industry sources, as relayed by On3 and SI. Records and AP ranks: ESPN, updated Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM CT.
+0.34Reported budget vs. AP rank
Spearman, top 25 reported budgets
+0.05Reported budget vs. win %
Spearman, top 25 reported budgets

Top 25 reported 2026 roster budgets (The Athletic) vs. results

▲ +N beating pay rank by 3+ spots▼ -N trailing pay rank by 3+– within 2▲ = performing better than payroll rank, ▼ = worse; the number is how many spots. Small line = payroll rank vs. performance rank (of 25).
#ProgramReported rangeReported midpointRecordAP rankvs. Payroll
1Ohio State$49-54M$51.5M5-1No. 4▼ -3Payroll rank #1 · Performance rank #4
2Oregon$48-54M$51.0M3-2NR▼ -16Payroll rank #2 · Performance rank #18
3Texas$45-55M$50.0M4-1No. 7▼ -4Payroll rank #3 · Performance rank #7
4LSU$47-50M$48.5M4-2No. 22▼ -10Payroll rank #4 · Performance rank #14
5Texas A&M$45-50M$47.5M3-3NR▼ -19Payroll rank #5 · Performance rank #24
6Miami$44-50M$47.0M5-0No. 3▲ +3Payroll rank #6 · Performance rank #3
7Notre Dame$41-48M$44.5M6-0No. 2▲ +5Payroll rank #7 · Performance rank #2
8Ole Miss$39-45M$42.0M4-1No. 9–Payroll rank #8.5 · Performance rank #8
9Tennessee$41-43M$42.0M5-1No. 14▼ -4Payroll rank #8.5 · Performance rank #12
10Alabama$38-42M$40.0M5-1No. 6▲ +5Payroll rank #10.5 · Performance rank #6
11Texas Tech$38-42M$40.0M5-0No. 10–Payroll rank #10.5 · Performance rank #9
12USC$37-40M$38.5M6-1No. 19–Payroll rank #12 · Performance rank #13
13Indiana$36-40M$38.0M6-0No. 5▲ +9Payroll rank #13.5 · Performance rank #5
14Michigan$36-40M$38.0M3-2NR▼ -8Payroll rank #13.5 · Performance rank #21
15Florida$31-41M$36.0M4-2NR–Payroll rank #15 · Performance rank #17
16South Carolina$32-35M$33.5M3-3NR▼ -8Payroll rank #16 · Performance rank #24
17Auburn$31-35M$33.0M3-2NR▼ -4Payroll rank #17.5 · Performance rank #21
18Nebraska$31-35M$33.0M5-1NR–Payroll rank #17.5 · Performance rank #15
19Georgia$31-34M$32.5M6-0No. 1▲ +18Payroll rank #19 · Performance rank #1
20Oklahoma$28-34M$31.0M3-2NR–Payroll rank #20 · Performance rank #19
21Clemson$29-32M$30.5M3-2NR–Payroll rank #21.5 · Performance rank #21
22Penn State$29-32M$30.5M3-3NR–Payroll rank #21.5 · Performance rank #24
23Wisconsin$27-31M$29.0M4-1NR▲ +7Payroll rank #23 · Performance rank #16
24Missouri$27-30M$28.5M5-1No. 13▲ +13Payroll rank #24 · Performance rank #11
25UCLA$26-30M$28.0M5-0No. 12▲ +15Payroll rank #25 · Performance rank #10
Ranges: The Athletic (reported, Sept 16, 2026) via On3 / SI. Records & AP rank (poll of Oct 11): ESPN, as of Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM CT. NR = not ranked. vs. Payroll: see Methodology.

What the numbers say

Samplevs. win %vs. AP rank
Top 15 reported budgets-0.20+0.18
Top 25 reported budgets+0.05+0.34

Among the biggest spenders, reported spending is only a loose guide to results so far (a correlation of +1 would mean budget order exactly matched results).

  • Top 10 reported budgets: 44-12 combined (.786), 6 teams in the AP top 10.
  • Next 15: 64-20 (.762), 3 teams in the AP top 10.

Over-performers ▲

  • Georgia: 6-0, No. 1, 19th-largest reported budget (+18).
  • UCLA: 5-0, No. 12, 25th-largest reported budget (+15).
  • Missouri: 5-1, No. 13, 24th-largest reported budget (+13).
  • Indiana: 6-0, No. 5, tied 13th-largest reported budget (+9).
  • Wisconsin: 4-1, unranked, 23rd-largest reported budget (+7).
  • Notre Dame: 6-0, No. 2, 7th-largest reported budget (+5).
  • Alabama: 5-1, No. 6, tied 10th-largest reported budget (+5).
  • Miami: 5-0, No. 3, 6th-largest reported budget (+3).

Under-performers ▼

  • Texas A&M: 3-3, unranked, 5th-largest reported budget (-19).
  • Oregon: 3-2, unranked, 2nd-largest reported budget (-16).
  • LSU: 4-2, No. 22, 4th-largest reported budget (-10).
  • South Carolina: 3-3, unranked, 16th-largest reported budget (-8).
  • Michigan: 3-2, unranked, tied 13th-largest reported budget (-8).
  • Texas: 4-1, No. 7, 3rd-largest reported budget (-4).
  • Auburn: 3-2, unranked, tied 17th-largest reported budget (-4).
  • Tennessee: 5-1, No. 14, tied 8th-largest reported budget (-4).
  • Ohio State: 5-1, No. 4, the largest reported budget (-3).

Methodology

  • Each team's value is the midpoint of its reported range from The Athletic (e.g. $49-54M → $51.5M).
  • We compute the Spearman rank correlation between reported midpoint and (a) win % and (b) AP rank, both oriented so a positive number means more money goes with better results. Unranked teams are coded 26.
  • vs. Payroll column. Expected = the team's rank by reported budget midpoint among these 25 (1 = biggest). Actual = its performance rank among the same 25: AP-ranked teams first in AP order, then unranked teams by win %, then by AP poll points (others receiving votes). Teams tied on both measures, or on budget midpoint, share the average of their positions (e.g. 8.5). The number is expected minus actual: ▲ +N means the team ranks N or more spots better on the field than its payroll rank (3+, row tinted green), ▼ -N means N or more spots worse (3+, tinted red), and – means within 2. The coach table does the same with reported head-coach pay rank vs. performance rank among those 25 coaches' teams.
  • Records, AP rank and AP points come from ESPN's public APIs (AP poll of Oct 11), as of Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM CT. The page is rebuilt weekly; budget and salary figures stay the reported ones.
  • Context: the 2026-27 school-paid revenue-sharing cap is reported at about $21.3M; third-party NIL sits on top, which is why reported roster budgets can exceed double the cap.

Caveats

  1. These are reported estimates from anonymous sources, given as ranges. Some ranges span $10M (Texas, Florida).
  2. Outlets measure different things. The Athletic counts program-controlled money; others count market value or all player pay. Don't compare across outlets.
  3. Half a season is a small sample, and schedule strength varies.
  4. Only the top 25 reported spenders are included, so lower-budget teams that are ranked aren't.
  5. AP rank partly reflects preseason expectations, which themselves correlate with talent and money.
  6. A correlation isn't a causal finding.

Second section

Head Coach Pay vs. Results

REPORTED 2026 PAY (ON3/RIVALS) · SPEARMAN, TOP 25 BY PAY: +0.32 WITH WIN %, +0.53 WITH AP RANK

Top 25 reported 2026 head coach pay vs. results

▲ +N beating pay rank by 3+ spots▼ -N trailing pay rank by 3+– within 2▲ = performing better than payroll rank, ▼ = worse; the number is how many spots. Small line = payroll rank vs. performance rank (of 25).
#CoachSchoolReported payRecordAPvs. PayWins per $MData
1Kirby SmartGeorgia$13.3M6-0No. 1–Coach pay rank #1 · Performance rank #10.45Public
2Curt CignettiIndiana$13.0M6-0No. 5–Coach pay rank #2.5 · Performance rank #50.46Public
3Lane KiffinLSU$13.0M4-2No. 22▼ -9Coach pay rank #2.5 · Performance rank #110.31Public
4Ryan DayOhio State$12.6M5-1No. 4–Coach pay rank #4 · Performance rank #40.40Public
5Kalen DeBoerAlabama$12.5M5-1No. 6–Coach pay rank #5 · Performance rank #60.40Public
6Lincoln RileyUSC$11.5M6-1No. 19▼ -4Coach pay rank #6 · Performance rank #100.52Private (est.)
7Dabo SwinneyClemson$11.4M3-2NR▼ -11Coach pay rank #7 · Performance rank #180.26Public
8Steve SarkisianTexas$11.1M4-1No. 7–Coach pay rank #8 · Performance rank #70.36Public
9Mike ElkoTexas A&M$10.8M3-3NR▼ -13Coach pay rank #9 · Performance rank #220.28Public
10Dan LanningOregon$10.4M3-2NR▼ -5Coach pay rank #10 · Performance rank #150.29Public
11Mike NorvellFlorida State$10.3M3-3NR▼ -11Coach pay rank #11.5 · Performance rank #220.29Public
12Eli DrinkwitzMissouri$10.3M5-1No. 13▲ +4Coach pay rank #11.5 · Performance rank #80.49Public
13Marcus FreemanNotre Dame$10.0M6-0No. 2▲ +12Coach pay rank #14 · Performance rank #20.60Private (est.)
14Deion SandersColorado$10.0M2-3NR▼ -11Coach pay rank #14 · Performance rank #250.20Public
15Bill BelichickNorth Carolina$10.0M3-2NR▼ -4Coach pay rank #14 · Performance rank #180.30Public
16Shane BeamerSouth Carolina$9.2M3-3NR▼ -6Coach pay rank #16 · Performance rank #220.33Public
17Josh HeupelTennessee$9.0M5-1No. 14▲ +8Coach pay rank #17 · Performance rank #90.56Public
18Brent VenablesOklahoma$8.7M3-2NR–Coach pay rank #18 · Performance rank #160.34Public
19Matt RhuleNebraska$8.5M5-1NR▲ +7Coach pay rank #19 · Performance rank #120.59Public
20Mario CristobalMiami$8.3M5-0No. 3▲ +17Coach pay rank #20 · Performance rank #30.60Private (est.)
21Bret BielemaIllinois$8.2M3-3NR–Coach pay rank #21 · Performance rank #220.37Public
22Matt CampbellPenn State$8.0M3-3NR–Coach pay rank #22.5 · Performance rank #220.38Public
23Kyle WhittinghamMichigan$8.0M3-2NR▲ +5Coach pay rank #22.5 · Performance rank #180.38Public
24P.J. FleckMinnesota$7.9M4-2NR▲ +10Coach pay rank #24 · Performance rank #140.51Public
25Luke FickellWisconsin$7.8M4-1NR▲ +12Coach pay rank #25 · Performance rank #130.51Public
Pay: On3/Rivals 2026 coaching salaries (reported, rounded to $0.1M, fetched Oct 12, 2026). USA Today's database hasn't been updated for 2026. Private-school figures are estimates. Outlets disagree on who is No. 1. Records/AP: ESPN, as of Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM CT.

Coach pay takeaways

  • Coach pay vs. AP rank: +0.53; reported roster spending vs. AP rank: +0.34. Pay largely rewards past success.
  • Top 10 paid: 45-13 combined, 7 of 10 ranked. Ranked 11-25 by pay: 57-27, 4 of 15 ranked.
  • Beating their pay rank: Eli Drinkwitz (Missouri), Marcus Freeman (Notre Dame), Josh Heupel (Tennessee), Matt Rhule (Nebraska), Mario Cristobal (Miami), Kyle Whittingham (Michigan), P.J. Fleck (Minnesota), Luke Fickell (Wisconsin). Trailing it: Lane Kiffin (LSU), Lincoln Riley (USC), Dabo Swinney (Clemson), Mike Elko (Texas A&M), Dan Lanning (Oregon), Mike Norvell (Florida State), Deion Sanders (Colorado), Bill Belichick (North Carolina), Shane Beamer (South Carolina).

Wins per $M is noisy at this point of the season; schedule strength isn't accounted for.

Sources: The Athletic (Sept 16, 2026) · On3 · SI · ESPN · On3/Rivals coach salaries. All dollar figures reported estimates.

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