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B1G+A · All Big Analytics

LIVE BIG TEN FOOTBALL ANALYTICS

B1G+A is a projection model built on every Big Ten number there is. It projects games, power ratings, bowl spots and the College Football Playoff from those numbers.

And it's live. B1G+A updates with the latest news, injuries and press conferences, usually within the hour. When news breaks, the CFP projections, bowl projections, win chances and power ratings move with it.

Real example · Oct 12, 2026

When UCLA QB Nico Iamaleava was ruled out for the season, B1G+A dropped UCLA's rating 3 points (11.5 → 8.5). UCLA's B1G+A playoff chance moved from 33.0% to 27.7% within the hour. ESPN FPI (comparison): 28.6%.

CFP odds last rebuilt Oct 12, 3:50 PM CT.

NEW · LIVE IN-GAME ANALYTICS

starts Week 7 · Sat, Oct 17

Every play

WIN CHANCES

B1G+A updates each team's win chance after every snap.

Every call

COACHES' DECISIONS

4th down, graded live: go for it, kick the field goal or punt, and what each choice does to the win chance.

Every game

ALL OF CFB

Covers every college football game through the live feeds, focused on the Big Ten. Records kept for every game from Week 7 on.

EVERYTHING B1G+A DOES

tap a category to open it
The B1G+A model 3
Live in-game (all FBS, from Week 7) 3
Scores, teams & rankings 5
Playoff & bowls 2
Picks & proof 5
Money, fun & more 5

The B1G+A Model · Week 7 projections

THIS WEEK'S B1G+A PICKS

Projected scores from the B1G+A Model, posted before kickoff and graded against the final. Every pick stays on the board, hit or miss. Past weeks, graded →

B1G+A RECORD

green = .500 or better · red = below .500
ALL-TIMEsince 10/10/26 · 7 gradedLATEST WEEKWeek 6 · 7 graded · 0 pending
Straight upprojected winner won4-3.571 4-3.571
Against the spreadB1G+A lean vs. DraftKings5-2.714 5-2.714
Over/underB1G+A lean vs. DraftKings3-4.429 3-4.429
Avg margin errorprojected vs. actual margin8.9pts8.9pts

Iowa at Washington (Fri., Oct 9, 2026, 8 PM CT) kicked off before B1G+A launched (Oct 10, 2026), so it is not in the pick record.

B1G+A DROP SCHEDULE

Full weekly schedule →

WEEK 7 PROJECTIONS

Past weeks, graded →
Game (CT)B1G+A projection (win %)ESPN FPI win %
WASH @ PUR
Fri Oct 16, 7:00 PM CT · Fox
PUR 28-25 (58%)PUR 60%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 51.5
CaesarsPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
OSU @ IU
Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT · Fox
IU 26-25 (51%)OSU 52%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 50.5 (o 48.5)
FanDuelOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 49.5 (o 48.5)
CaesarsOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 50.5 (o 48.5)
NU @ MSU
Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT · Peacock
NU 29-19 (73%)NU 79%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 48.5 (o 47.5)
FanDuelNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 48.5 (o 47.5)
CaesarsNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 49 (o 47.5)
RUTG @ MD
Sat Oct 17, 11:30 AM CT · BTN
MD 33-27 (67%)MD 61%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsMD -6 (o -4.5)
O/U 56.5 (o 58.5)
FanDuelMD -5.5 (o -4.5)
O/U 57.5 (o 58.5)
CaesarsMD -6 (o -4.5)
O/U 56.5 (o 58.5)
PSU @ MICH
Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT · CBS
MICH 25-23 (55%)MICH 55%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsMICH -6.5
O/U 42.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelMICH -6.5
O/U 41.5 (o 51.5)
CaesarsMICH -6.5
O/U 42.5 (o 51.5)
WIS @ UCLA
Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT · NBC
UCLA 26-25 (54%)UCLA 58%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 45.5 (o 49.5)
FanDuelUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 44.5 (o 49.5)
CaesarsUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 45 (o 49.5)
NEB @ ORE
Sat Oct 17, 10:00 PM CT · Fox
ORE 30-25 (63%)ORE 66%
Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
CaesarsORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)

All 7 Week 7 games involving a Big Ten team. B1G+A projection = projected winner and score from the B1G+A Model, with its win chance. ESPN FPI win % (Matchup Predictor) is shown for comparison and is not B1G+A. Week 6 and earlier projections, with results →

B1G+A LIVE WIN PROB.

Week 7 · as of Oct 12, 3:54 PM CT

Pregame · B1G+A

WASH42%@58%PUR

B1G+A pregame · Fri Oct 16, 7:00 PM CT · Fox · PUR favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: PUR 60%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 51.5
CaesarsPUR -3.5 (o -2.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
OSU49%@51%IU

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT · Fox · IU favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: OSU 52%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 50.5 (o 48.5)
FanDuelOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 49.5 (o 48.5)
CaesarsOSU -3.5 (o pick'em)
O/U 50.5 (o 48.5)
NU73%@27%MSU

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 11:00 AM CT · Peacock · NU favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: NU 79%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 48.5 (o 47.5)
FanDuelNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 48.5 (o 47.5)
CaesarsNU -7.5 (o -8.5)
O/U 49 (o 47.5)
RUTG33%@67%MD

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 11:30 AM CT · BTN · MD favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: MD 61%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsMD -6 (o -4.5)
O/U 56.5 (o 58.5)
FanDuelMD -5.5 (o -4.5)
O/U 57.5 (o 58.5)
CaesarsMD -6 (o -4.5)
O/U 56.5 (o 58.5)
PSU45%@55%MICH

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 2:30 PM CT · CBS · MICH favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: MICH 55%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsMICH -6.5
O/U 42.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelMICH -6.5
O/U 41.5 (o 51.5)
CaesarsMICH -6.5
O/U 42.5 (o 51.5)
WIS46%@54%UCLA

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 6:30 PM CT · NBC · UCLA favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: UCLA 58%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 45.5 (o 49.5)
FanDuelUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 44.5 (o 49.5)
CaesarsUCLA -2.5 (o -3)
O/U 45 (o 49.5)
NEB37%@63%ORE

B1G+A pregame · Sat Oct 17, 10:00 PM CT · Fox · ORE favored

ESPN FPI (comparison), pregame: ORE 66%

Lines as of Mon 3:53 PM CT · via VegasInsider; o = opening line
DraftKingsORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
FanDuelORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)
CaesarsORE -7.5 (o -21.5)
O/U 52.5 (o 51.5)

Lead number = B1G+A: the B1G+A in-game model once a game kicks off; before kickoff, the B1G+A pregame win chance (B1G+A v1.1 projection). ESPN FPI (comparison) is shown smaller underneath and is not B1G+A. Updates every 15 min on game days.

* B1G+A v1.1, updated Oct 10, 2026. Model notes

The B1G+ take: Calibration check: B1G+A picks carried an average pregame FPI win chance of 74%, so you'd expect about 5.2 of 7 right; it got 4. With 7 games that is far too small a sample to say the model is well calibrated, and B1G+A will keep tracking it in the open.

THE PROOF

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LATEST REPORTS

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